OKX Ventures 2023 Investment Forecast: Crypto Industry Flourishing, Next Three Years Prime Time to Bet

"Behind the Silicon Valley miracle lies the power of venture capital."

Sebastian Mallaby, two-time Pulitzer Prize winner, notes in his book "The Power Law": Venture capital is not just a business, but a method that drives social progress, a way of thinking and philosophy, and a tremendous force shaping business innovation and a powerful engine for social advancement.

The first perfect combination of capital and technology in human history can be traced back to the era of the First Industrial Revolution. With the financial support of Matthew Boulton, James Watt's improved steam engine achieved mass production, thus opening a new era of energy utilization for humanity. In 2011, the Bank of England printed the portraits of James Watt and his investor Matthew Boulton on the new £50 banknote.

Venture capital accelerates technological iteration and enhances economic vitality, driving human society forward continuously. Today, with the support of crypto venture capital, blockchain technology is leading a new round of internet transformation.

As one of the most influential crypto venture capital institutions in the industry, OKX Ventures has always focused on investing in the most cutting-edge blockchain technological innovations, promoting the sustainable development of the global blockchain industry.

Despite the past year being affected by continued macroeconomic uncertainty, with the crypto industry starting high and ending low, OKX Ventures has long clearly recognized the cyclical nature of the market, insisting on investing in long-term structural value, increasing investment in technological innovation against the market trend. In just two or three years, it has successfully invested in over 300 projects worldwide.

Looking back at 2022, what sectors did OKX Ventures capture? Looking ahead to 2023, what opportunities will OKX Ventures bet on? This article will delve into the insights and investment logic of this "whale."

I. Five Key Keywords Reviewing OKX Ventures' 2022 Investment Portfolio:

The venture capital industry is actually not mysterious, mainly providing entrepreneurs with funds, resources, and other support.

Unlike general crypto venture capital firms, OKX Ventures is not just a traditional "fund provider," but also assumes the dual roles of "service provider" and "enabler." Leveraging the support of OKX, the world's leading crypto asset trading platform behind it, it provides comprehensive resource support to entrepreneurs, fostering mutual growth.

In the fiercely competitive crypto field, OKX Ventures insists on embracing diversity and non-consensus, focusing on forward-looking innovation. Reviewing OKX Ventures' investment framework, the initial capital is $100 million, with the highest investment proportion in the infrastructure sector at 40%, and the highest number of investments in the GameFi sector also at around 40%, focusing on five major areas: infrastructure, DeFi, GameFi, Web3, metaverse, and NFT.

(I) Infrastructure:

Crypto infrastructure includes multiple sub-sectors such as public chains, middleware, developer platforms, and wallets, considered by venture capital firms to be one of the few certain opportunities. Among them, public chains are one of the most important infrastructures in the crypto industry, much like the foundation of a building. Without public chain support at the underlying layer, various applications would be like castles in the air. Therefore, public chains play a crucial role in the crypto industry. In 2022, the number of unique addresses on Ethereum, the leading public chain, more than doubled, reaching 260 million to date, and the total TVL of Layer 2 also exceeded $4 billion. OKX Ventures is very optimistic about the long-term development of public chains, believing that the future will definitely be a multi-chain coexistence pattern. Therefore, its investment coverage is very broad, including projects in multiple public chain categories such as Layer 1, Layer 2, and cross-chain.

In terms of Layer 2: It bet on the "four horses" of ZK: Scroll, zkSync, StarkWare, and Arbitrum, as well as cross-chain communication protocol LayerZero, and staking infrastructure SSV Network, among others.

In terms of multi-chain ecosystem: It has laid out public chains such as NEAR, Polkadot, Solana, AR, and Cosmos, as well as their ecological projects, such as Aurora, Astar Network, Permaweb, Taki, Acala, Zenlink, etc.

In OKX Ventures' view, only public chains that simultaneously possess sufficient decentralization, security, and scalability, and are long-term stable with good operations, can gain market recognition.

(II) DeFi:

The cryptocurrency market is an interweaving of CeFi and DeFi. Decentralized finance DeFi has revolutionized the inefficient infrastructure of traditional finance, using cryptography, blockchain, and other technologies to build a new type of financial system that is open, transparent, and decentralized. To date, DeFi has developed various applications such as DEX, stablecoins, lending, etc., and derived various innovative gameplay such as liquidity mining and trading mining. OKX Ventures has always been supporting the development of DeFi.

Spot and derivatives DEX: Rhino.fi, MCDEX, Slope Finance, Zenlink, etc.

In terms of asset management and lending: Asset management tools DefiYield, Swivel Finance, etc.

Innovative mechanisms, efficient decentralized trading models, designs that improve capital efficiency or can gain exposure to real-world assets, compliance, and corresponding infrastructure are all targets that OKX Ventures focuses on in the DeFi field. In OKX Ventures' view, after a period of explosive growth, affected by the inversion of US Treasury yields, DeFi on-chain returns currently lack external value inflow. Although high-risk high-yield offerings remain attractive under high capital costs, DeFi may struggle and explore in the short term.

(III) GameFi:

GameFi has brought incremental growth to the crypto industry, and industry increment has in turn promoted the popularity of GameFi. In June 2021, Axie Infinity set off the GameFi boom, becoming the first "phenomenal hit" crypto application to break through one million users. Entering 2022, GameFi remains the hottest DApp sector on major public chains in 2022 and is also a key investment area for OKX Ventures.

Gaming platforms: OKX Ventures has invested in high-quality games or gaming platforms such as Joyride, SIDUS, Ember Sword, Sweatcoin, and Big Time Studio.

DeFi and GameFi are two major innovative applications in the crypto industry. Compared to monotonous DeFi trading, GameFi combines DeFi and NFT, enhancing entertainment and interactivity. OKX Ventures believes that GameFi in the gaming industry will have great potential in the next cycle and will continue to focus on gameplay improvements, economic model innovations, etc.

(IV) Web3:

As a decentralized, trustworthy value internet built based on blockchain and other technologies, Web3 advocates returning data ownership and identity autonomy from large platforms to users, opening new imagination and appeal for the internet, and launching a great transformation of data, finance, and trust globally. OKX Ventures is very optimistic about the development of the next-generation internet and has invested in many quality projects in the Web3 field.

Web3 infrastructure network & platforms: Pocket Network, a distributed API infrastructure built for Web3 applications; Octopus Network, a multi-chain interoperable crypto network based on NEAR; Source Network, a Web3 application; Dorafactory, a programmable, multi-chain DAO-as-a-Service open infrastructure, etc.

OKX Ventures believes that due to the emergence of various pain points such as data monopoly, privacy leakage, and profit extraction, the current development of Web2 is entering a bottleneck period. Web3, which advocates personal sovereignty awareness, will usher in broad development in the future.

(V) NFT and Metaverse:

Although the current NFT market is still in its early stages, with the innovation of NFT models and rapid market share growth, it is expected to become an opportunity for the mainstream market to massively adopt cryptocurrency. In addition, NFT is also an important cornerstone of the metaverse. OKX Ventures has laid out a significant amount of infrastructure and quality projects in NFT and the metaverse.

NFT infrastructure and metaverse: Live Art X, an NFT platform for artists, collectors, and galleries; Unstoppable Domains, NFT domains; Bit.Country, a platform for users to create metaverses and games; Outland, an emerging crypto art platform; Realy, the first Live-to-Earn metaverse on Solana, etc.

OKX Ventures is continuing to pay attention to innovative projects in NFT sub-sectors such as NFT fragmentation, NFT lending, NFT rental, and valuation. In OKX Ventures' view, besides financialization, NFT will become an important carrier mapping the real world, massively tokenizing off-chain assets and data. Once scaled application is achieved, it will have immeasurable and far-reaching impact on the entire crypto market.

II. OKX Ventures 2023 Crypto Market Sub-sector Opportunity Predictions:

If entrepreneurs seek opportunities from the unknown, then venture capital firms seek certainty from opportunities.

However, finding good projects is not achieved overnight, but a process of finding a needle in a haystack. Especially since the growth process of many projects will be very long, this not only requires venture capital firms to be very patient, far-sighted, and forge ahead with entrepreneurs, but also for quite a long time, there may be no profit.

This harsh requirement resonates with OKX Ventures' investment philosophy. Pursuing profit is not the company's main purpose. Occupying the market while continuously creating new product areas is what the company should truly focus on.

Therefore, to achieve the dual goals of revenue and assisting the industry, in addition to professional capabilities, keen sense of smell, and deep understanding, OKX Ventures must also have a precise grasp of industry development trends, cultivating a pair of "discerning eyes" to capture the next round of cyclical opportunities in advance.

What predictions has OKX Ventures made for opportunities in 2023 crypto market sub-sectors?

(I) Ethereum Ecosystem Continues to Lead:

2022 was a year of milestone victories for Ethereum, completing the most complex "The Merge" upgrade in history, fulfilling the promise of transitioning to Proof-of-Stake narrative, and reducing energy consumption by over 99%. Moreover, Layer 2 represented by OP and ZK also made good progress, further expanding the Ethereum ecosystem. Currently, the "Shanghai Upgrade" is imminent, and it can be expected that the implementation of Danksharding will raise Ethereum TPS to over 100,000. OKX Ventures will participate more in building and investing in the Ethereum ecosystem in 2023, focusing on three major sub-sectors: OP, ZK, and Staking.

Optimistic Rollup maintains leadership in L2: The Shanghai Upgrade (after EIP-4844) will make Layer 2 gas more affordable. The number of users and ecological applications of OP and Arbitrum will maintain leadership, even pressing or surpassing other high-performance Layer 1s. Perhaps future Layer 1s will mainly bear the role of consensus, while outsourcing functions such as computing and storage to Layer 2. Arbitrum may open the mainnet Beta version and remove the whitelist system, with its TVL surpassing Optimism. In addition, Arbitrum's future iteration version Nitro is also worth looking forward to, providing higher efficiency, less latency, stronger liveness guarantees, and better compatibility. Not only OKX Ventures' investments in Arbitrum, Metis, Aurora, etc., but we are also optimistic about the progress of the overall L2 ecosystem applications in the future.

ZK Rollup mainnet available, more ZKP use cases, ZK-EVM needs more patience: ZK Rollup is the Layer 2 solution with the highest expectations in capital and the community, and 2023 is no exception. In 2022, ZK-series L2s brought surprising progress, especially the launch of the four major testnets: zkSync 2.0, StarkNet Mainnet alpha v0.10.2, Scroll pre-alpha testnet, and Polygon zkEVM, completing public verification. Additionally, these four major ZK-series solutions have all promised to launch mainnet in 2023. In 2023, we can expect truly available ZK-series L2 mainnets, and zero-knowledge proof ZKP applications will also see more implementation. It is worth noting that in 2023, ZK-EVM and ZK proof generation are still under construction and still need more patience. OKX Ventures will continue to support the construction of Scroll, zkSync, Starkware, etc.

Staking TVL doubles, Restaking sector explodes: The Staking sector is the fastest-growing and most attention-grabbing area in the DeFi field, but currently, the total amount of ETH staked is less than 16 million, with a staking rate not exceeding 13%. Compared with other public chains where the overall staking rate can reach over 60%, it is expected that ETH staking can reach 30 million next year. It is worth noting that the "Shanghai Upgrade" has confirmed support for withdrawals, which may cause some selling pressure in the short term, but in the long term will cause more ETH to enter staking. In addition, innovative layer protocols based on liquidity and credit generated from Staking are emerging endlessly. It cannot be predicted that 2023 will welcome more innovation in the Restaking sector, nourishing more ecological applications such as middleware and oracles. Based on the Merge expectation of Ethereum's transition to PoS, OKX Ventures invested in the staking infrastructure SSV Network and jointly established the SSV ecological fund to support the application promotion of Distributed Validator Technology (DVT), etc.

(II) "Onboarding" Innovation:

New users are crucial to the crypto industry, and "onboarding" is one of the important capabilities for bringing new users to the crypto industry. OKX Ventures is very optimistic about the innovation of projects with "onboarding" capabilities. Whether it was DeFi in 2020, GameFi in 2021, or Yuga Labs in 2022, they all activated and "onboarded" tens of millions of traditional users in new ways. OKX Ventures has invested in hundreds of projects in GameFi, DeFi, NFT, and other fields. In the future, it will continue to focus on "onboarding," specifically including the following two directions:

Web2.5 applications: Web2.5 is an important part of "onboarding" new users. More and more traditional institutions are bringing large numbers of users to the crypto industry in the form of Web2.5. For example, Reddit users minted over 5 million NFT avatars, Meta embedded NFTs on the Instagram platform used by tens of millions of users, Tiffany raised over $12.5 million with 250 NFTs, etc. These traditional Web2 companies profit from Web3 applications while bringing more demonstration effects. Over the past year, OKX Ventures has invested in many traditional game studios transforming to GameFi, internet startup teams like SweatCoin, etc., and will continue to seek external cooperation opportunities in the future.

Low-threshold wallets: Improving decentralized wallet experience and ensuring asset security is the only way to "onboard" 1 billion new users in the crypto market. Currently, most decentralized wallets have high usage thresholds and poor experience, hindering the entry of new users. It can be expected that next-generation wallets will have major breakthroughs in 2023, such as lowering thresholds, optimizing user experience, better assisting users in accessing dApps, introducing shared security open-source key management and transaction signature libraries, Web2 2FA solutions, or combining smart contract wallets, MPC solutions, or social recovery, etc. OKX Ventures is very optimistic about quality wallet projects.

(III) DeFi Renaissance:

2022's crypto industry was a deleveraging process, leading to the bankruptcy of FTX and the DCG liquidity crisis, etc. DeFi TVL fell from $166.58 billion to currently less than $40 billion, a decline of nearly 80%. OKX Ventures believes the deleveraging process is basically complete and maintains an optimistic attitude toward the future development of the DeFi field.

Decentralized stablecoins starting again: Stablecoins are crucial for DeFi protocols, including attracting new users and liquidity, increasing protocol revenue and FDV, etc. As the liquidity war led by Curve tends to stabilize, the stablecoin war may move to the next stage of producing utility for the real world. Decentralized stablecoins regaining the seigniorage of the stablecoin market is an exciting narrative. Currently, leading DEX and lending protocols have begun to join the stablecoin war, such as Aave's $GHO, Curve's $crvUSD, etc. OKX Ventures believes the crypto world needs truly decentralized stablecoins, and in 2023, new stablecoin projects at the $1 billion level are expected to emerge.

Following the GMX model, Layer 2-enabled derivatives will appear: The rise of GMX represents the emergence of breakthrough L2 applications in 2022. GMX generated $81.4 billion in trading volume and produced $33 million in revenue in 2022, currently ranking first in TVL in the derivatives sector, surpassing protocols like dYdX and Perpetual. In addition, Arbitrum also benefited from GMX, currently ranking first in TVL among all Layer 2s, with GMX's total value locked (TVL) at $415 million, accounting for 40% of Arbitrum network TVL. Moreover, most DeFi innovation on Arbitrum is concentrated around GMX. OKX Ventures is optimistic about the future development of the GMX model combined with Layer 2.

NFTfi improves capital efficiency: Accompanying the overall deleveraging process of the crypto market, the 2022 NFT market started high and ended low, welcoming a return to value. The NFT industry is developing in a more practical and utility-oriented direction. Constrained by the overall market size of NFTs, NFTfi is still a sector with a relatively small market scale. Most protocols' TVL comes from blue-chip PFPs, and PFP price fluctuations directly affect the development of the entire NFTfi industry. OKX Ventures believes that the development of the NFTfi market requires innovation from underlying assets other than PFP NFTs. If NFTs can better combine with DeFi assets in the future, the credit, value, and rights of the entire NFT will be enriched, and more innovative applications in NFTfi will explode in the future. OKX Ventures has already laid out NFT-related infrastructure and quality projects, such as WAXP, Unstoppable Domains, Live Art X, etc. In the future, it is more optimistic about the NFTfi vertical sector, including AMM mechanism innovation, liquidity pool innovation, NFT lending, oracles and their stablecoins, and other tracks.

(IV) Infrastructure:

To welcome billions of times the users, more traditional developers entering, and scaled ecological application expansion, OKX Ventures believes that the entire crypto world still needs to provide more permissionless and decentralized infrastructure projects. In addition to continuously investing "heavily," it is very optimistic about the following three infrastructure tracks.

MEV tools: MEV is a very important public governance issue facing the Ethereum ecosystem. After ETH Merge, validators replaced miners to provide consensus and security for Ethereum, and the MEV market has undergone great changes. In 2021, Vitalik and Ethereum Foundation researchers proposed specific designs for the Proposer/Builder Separation (PBS) scheme to solve the MEV problem. In September 2022, Flashbots' MEV-Boost relay went live, and after the merge, validators connected to MEV-Boost could receive MEV rewards in addition to validator rewards. Since then, validator adoption of mev-boost has climbed all the way to nearly 90%. However, given OFAC's sanctions on Tornado Cash, Flashbots stated that "Flashbots relays and builders now and in the future will comply with OFAC regulations," meaning that validators of Flashbots mev-boost relays are under OFAC scrutiny, which is a huge problem facing MEV. But with the liquidity fragmentation brought by various Layer 2s, app chains, and COSMOS representative multi-chain ecosystems in 2023, it also brings huge opportunities for MEV tools. For example, Flashbot's MEV extraction method on the Ethereum mainnet will change after Danksharding, potentially reshaping the MEV landscape. OKX Ventures is optimistic about innovation in the MEV field in 2023.

ZK acceleration hardware: As a scaling solution, ZK rollup's proof speed is affected by three factors: proof system, circuit scale to be proven, and algorithm software and hardware. Among them, the proof system is the foundation, and the circuit scale to be proven is also affected by the compatibility of ZK EVM. For Type 2 ZK-EVM projects like Scroll and Hermez that aim for compatibility from the very bottom layer, the circuit scale is more complex. ZK acceleration hardware can significantly improve proof speed and has important value for ZK Rollup. At the same time, Scroll pioneered the proposed ZK Prover outsourcing and decentralized proof network, and "proof generation" hardware acceleration will produce an emerging research direction and hardware market. In addition, when introducing ZK-EVMs, Vitalik also mentioned that Type 1 ZK-EVM needs to rely on ZK-SNARK ASIC chips in a longer cycle. Although Ethereum miners still have a large number of GPUs suitable for parallel computing, and the market also has many FPGA solutions providing sufficient programmability, these advantages cannot be perfectly applied in the environment of zero-knowledge proof generation. ASIC is a solution with better trade-off performance in terms of performance and cost (including throughput, latency, etc.), but considering development time and thread performance, the best solution is still undecided. OKX Ventures believes that 2023 will still be a year of rapid development and rapid theoretical progress for ZK acceleration hardware.

On-chain data tool iteration: For a long time in the past, centralized data tools occupied the dominant position in the industry, mainly serving investment and on-chain data analysis, including Dune, Flipside, Transpose, Footprint, Glassnode, The Block, and BigQuery, etc. Although centralized data tools can already serve current data needs well, their innovation is relatively concentrated in directions such as address association, address cleaning, and address aggregation. OKX Ventures believes that in the new year, data tools will develop in a more decentralized and better-performing direction.

(V) On-chain Security:

Security tools are also a field worth paying close attention to. According to the "2022 Global Blockchain Ecological Security Situation Report" released by the OKLink Research Institute, over 80% of losses in the blockchain security field in 2022 were concentrated in DeFi and cross-chain bridges, and phishing attacks were the most common attack method. In the first 11 months of 2022, OKLink monitored 275 blockchain ecosystem-related security incidents, an increase of 30% compared to the same period in 2021, with total losses of approximately $27.69 billion.

Security tools: OKX Ventures believes that serving blockchain security and reducing industry losses is a very important proposition. When investing, it will focus on types of projects such as on-chain data, tracking tools, and asset recovery tools.

OKX Ventures believes that this field still has huge development space.

III. Through the Deepest Darkness, Welcoming the Brightest Dawn:

"The Power Law" tells the story of Google's former long-time CEO Eric Schmidt. When he decided to join Google and was willing to take the risk of failure, it was not out of "Silicon Valley culture," but stemmed from the specific incentive measures given by venture capitalists. This shows that the vitality of Silicon Valley's startup environment is due to venture capital.

Although startup failure is the norm and success is accidental, with the support of venture capital, one will no longer be isolated and helpless.

Today, the power of venture capital is helping the crypto market. Just in the first half of last year, crypto venture capital invested nearly $30 billion in the primary market.

Although there were many black swans in the crypto industry in 2022, and there are many uncertainties in 2023, one thing is very clear: project failures were not caused by underlying blockchain technology failures, but by the superposition of various other factors. Relying on the development of technology in the crypto industry, crypto industry applications and operational models are continuously innovating and iterating, returning to a down-to-earth state.

Any venture capital is "a thrilling leap at the edge of a cliff," with clear success or failure. As a leading crypto venture capital firm, OKX Ventures has always firmly been optimistic about the future development of the crypto industry, committed to providing world-class resources and industry experience support for quality crypto startups, helping outstanding entrepreneurs in the blockchain industry create great companies, focusing more on practical theoretical innovation, actionable application innovation, and industry scale growth, rather than so-called bulls and bears.

OKX Ventures believes that the current macro environment has accelerated the deleveraging of the crypto industry, the industry is developing in a healthier and more compliant direction, and is paving the way for new innovations in asset classes. The next three years will be the most productive period for building and investing in the crypto industry. It is continuously increasing quality assets and will invest $1 billion in the future to continue supporting the Ethereum and Layer 2 ecosystems, infrastructure, Web3, and other key tracks.

Through the deepest darkness, the crypto industry will welcome the brightest dawn.

Disclaimer

This article may contain product-related content not applicable to your region. This article is intended to provide general information only and does not assume responsibility for any factual errors or omissions herein. This article represents only the author's personal views and does not represent the views of OKX. This article is not intended to provide any of the following advice, including but not limited to: (i) investment advice or investment recommendations; (ii) offers or solicitations to buy, sell, or hold digital assets; or (iii) financial, accounting, legal, or tax advice. Holding digital assets (including stablecoins) involves high risk, may fluctuate significantly, and even become worthless. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you based on your financial situation. For questions regarding your specific situation, please consult your legal/tax/investment professional. The information appearing in this article (including market data and statistical information, if any) is for general reference only. Although we have taken all reasonable precautions in preparing these data and charts, we assume no responsibility for any factual errors or omissions expressed herein. © 2025 OKX. This article may be reproduced or distributed in full, or excerpts of 100 words or less from this article may be used, provided that such use is non-commercial. Any reproduction or distribution of the entire article must also prominently state: "This article is copyrighted © 2025 OKX, used with permission." Permitted excerpts must cite the article name and include attribution, such as "Article Name, [Author Name (if applicable)], © 2025 OKX". Some content may be generated or assisted by artificial intelligence (AI) tools. Derivative works or other uses of this article are not permitted.

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